Satisfaction with Duterte is high in Q1 2018

Public satisfaction with Rodrigo Duterte is slightly down from December (2 pts), but is still high at +56 this month. The high satisfaction is reflected across classes, despite a curious number of undecided middle class. But that's really insignificant.

Note that this comes with the initial effects of Train, which many in the Left said would be bad for the poor. True enough there was slight movement in the Class E scores. But again, a comfortable majority of them (65%) still approve of Duterte.

The one good news is that Duterte still has opposition in the youth. "Millennials" (ages 18-24) continue to register the highest dissatisfaction with their president at 20%. The bad news is that the same group has been liking him more and more each quarter. (Curiously, yesterday's youth, or those who are now within the 25-34 age bracket, have the highest approval for Digs. Is this what happens when one "grows up"? One becomes older and wiser? Ten thousand kills are just fair game for a dedicated regime, yes?)

Anyway, a friendly reminder to the Left on May 1: Even as Duterte has apparently turned his back on the Anti-Endo pledge, on Red Day they'll be shouting at the effigy of a man who is well-liked by everyone else. I think this means we should work to propagate the cause of labor some more and continue to inspire the ranks up to within the lower middle class -- if they don't fight for better conditions, few others will. And the spiral of social decay continues.

The next data to check are the quarterly self-reported Poverty, which should be in anytime soon.

https://www.sws.org.ph/swsmain/artcldisppage/?artcsyscode=ART-20180411144206

Duterte net satisfaction drops significantly in September 2017

The fifth quarterly satisfaction rating from SWS is out here.

Results:

• National net satisfaction drops from +66 in previous quarter to +48.

• National gross satisfaction with Duterte is at 67%, while dissatisfaction is at 19%.

• Drop steepest in the Class E of the population at only +35 net satisfaction from a previous +67.

• One in every four members of respondents in Class E now dissatisfied with Duterte.

• Gross satisfaction with Duterte rises in Class ABC -- the only class group where gross satisfaction rose up.

• Net satisfaction with Duterte lower than P-Noy's for the same period, but higher than Erap's.

Duterte hits peak public satisfaction rating -- SWS

Although Rodrigo Duterte's approval rating went down in March (a separate survey conducted by SWS rival Pulse Asia), SWS's most recent report showed Rodrigo Duterte attaining a satisfaction rating of +66. "Satisfaction" is the difference between "satisfied" and "dissatisfied" respondents.

This net satisfaction rating is the highest since Duterte took office. The results probably should not come as surprising. It is expected, in the sense that net satisfaction does not really drop dramatically until an administration's third year. Duterte's public net satisfaction also traces the pattern of presidents past, with the exception of the Aquino II regime. Note that Aquino II still has the highest average entire-term public net satisfaction compared with all post-EDSA presidents.

Duterte's support base

The SWS's first satisfaction survey with Duterte is out. Here are four main takeaways from the data. The raw numbers can be found here. Duterte's net satisfaction is +64, which is the difference between satisfied and dissatisfied respondents. This figure is the highest among all post-EDSA presidents except Ramos, who began his term with a +66.

Summary:

1. Duterte has a strong class base.
Among the Class D and E, net satisfaction with Duterte was +65, just a point above the national average. And while the ABC Class were among the least satisfied with Duterte compared with other categories (location, gender, education and age) at 69%, this same class, true to form, had the highest number of Undecided (18%). At present, Duterte enjoys near universal approval.

2. The center of gravity of Duterte's support base is still Mindanao.
Being from Mindanao is a guaranteed determinant of Duterte support. Respondents coming from Mindanao provides Duterte with a net satisfaction of +85, which is more than 20 points above the national average. The numbers of respondents that were dissatisfied and undecided with Duterte are also both lowest in Mindanao, when compared with other categories.

3. The idealist youth
The highest rate of dissatisfaction with Duterte is among the youngest Filipinos, those aged 18 to 24, with 1.7 out of every 10 respondents saying they are not happy with their president. The number of undecided respondents within this age bracket is also lower than the national average at 11%. Net satisfaction within this age bracket at +55 is second lowest only to the category of achieving the lowest educational attainment (+54), although this category has a very high number of undecided. The youth sector, as always, is presenting itself as a fertile ground for organizing.

4. Duterte for the macho
Duterte is notably a very masculine phenomenon, with net satisfaction with Duterte among males being second only to one's being from Mindanao in net points (+71). Conversely, women registered among the highest rate of dissatisfaction with Digong at 15%, even though 72% of female respondents are still satisfied with him.

The nature of public satisfaction with all presidents is that its trend is always to go down. But it is important for the Left to crunch the numbers to know exactly the situation it is dealing with.