Sunday, October 9, 2016

Duterte's support base

The SWS's first satisfaction survey with Duterte is out. Here are four main takeaways from the data. The raw numbers can be found here. Duterte's net satisfaction is +64, which is the difference between satisfied and dissatisfied respondents. This figure is the highest among all post-EDSA presidents except Ramos, who began his term with a +66.

Summary:

1. Duterte has a strong class base.
Among the Class D and E, net satisfaction with Duterte was +65, just a point above the national average. And while the ABC Class were among the least satisfied with Duterte compared with other categories (location, gender, education and age) at 69%, this same class, true to form, had the highest number of Undecided (18%). At present, Duterte enjoys near universal approval.

2. The center of gravity of Duterte's support base is still Mindanao.
Being from Mindanao is a guaranteed determinant of Duterte support. Respondents coming from Mindanao provides Duterte with a net satisfaction of +85, which is more than 20 points above the national average. The numbers of respondents that were dissatisfied and undecided with Duterte are also both lowest in Mindanao, when compared with other categories.

3. The idealist youth
The highest rate of dissatisfaction with Duterte is among the youngest Filipinos, those aged 18 to 24, with 1.7 out of every 10 respondents saying they are not happy with their president. The number of undecided respondents within this age bracket is also lower than the national average at 11%. Net satisfaction within this age bracket at +55 is second lowest only to the category of achieving the lowest educational attainment (+54), although this category has a very high number of undecided. The youth sector, as always, is presenting itself as a fertile ground for organizing.

4. Duterte for the macho
Duterte is notably a very masculine phenomenon, with net satisfaction with Duterte among males being second only to one's being from Mindanao in net points (+71). Conversely, women registered among the highest rate of dissatisfaction with Digong at 15%, even though 72% of female respondents are still satisfied with him.

The nature of public satisfaction with all presidents is that its trend is always to go down. But it is important for the Left to crunch the numbers to know exactly the situation it is dealing with.

No comments:

Post a Comment